Modern empires; Trump and Dream of Division of the World with China and Russia

Last week, Mr Trump said he wants to normalize trade relations with Russia; The comment that seemed to reduce Moscow's pressure to end the war with Ukraine. He is also trying to limit the consequences of his World Trade War, and urged the Chinese leader to contact him.

"We all want to deal with, but I'm like a giant store," Trump said in a recent interview with Time Magazine. "A huge and beautiful store that everyone wants to buy."

Return to the style of empires
According to the New York Times, some foreign policy analysts believe that Trump may even think about something bigger, including Russia and China: a big deal. His behaviors and words show that he may think of a world in which each of the three great powers dominate a particular part of the world. This view will be a return to the style of the nineteenth century.

Trump has said he wants to take Greenland from Denmark, attach Canada, and restore US control over the Panama channel. These efforts to expand US domination in the Western Hemisphere are the most obvious signs of his desire to create an influence in the American backyard.

He has criticized allies and talked about the withdrawal of US troops from all over the world, actions that could be in favor of Russia and China; Countries seeking to undermine US security presence in Europe and Asia. Trump often referred to Russian President Vladimir Putin, and Chinese leader Shi Jinping, as "strong and intelligent" men and calls them close friends.

In this regard, Trump has been trying to recognize Russia's control over part of Ukraine's lands and, in addition, guarantee US access to Ukraine's mineral resources in the form of a possible peace agreement that critics say actually leads to Ukraine's division; Similar to what the great powers did during the empires. Trump and Putin discussed a two -hour phone call last week about Ukraine. "The tone of the dialogue was great," Trump wrote on social media.
Monika Duffy, a professor of international politics at the University of Tufts Felt, said that US, Russian and China leaders are all seeking to revive the "imaginary past" in which the world was more freer and more magnificent. "It seems that the sovereignty and the expansion of the areas of influence revives a fading sense of glory," he said.

The term "areas of influence" was first used at the Berlin Conference of 1-5; Where European powers designed an official plan to divide the African continent.

Some observers close to Trump, including officials from his first government, warn that one should not imagine his words and actions are based on strategy. They say that although Trump has a strong and long -standing perspective on some issues - such as immigration and business, it lacks a clear perspective of world order.

"Areas of influence"
However, there are signs that Trump, and perhaps some of her consultants, think of a style that the emperors once had in mind when imagined "areas of influence".

"The best witness is Trump's desire to expand the US influence in the Western Hemisphere," said Stephen Verteheim, a US foreign policy historian at the Carnegie Foundation for International Peace. But in the post -compatible era, setting up an infiltration area is not easy even for a superpower.

Last month, Canadians elected anti -tribal prime minister, Mark Carne; The leader of the Liberal Party, which seemed to be on the verge of defeating the election, until Trump was offensive about Canada. Greenland leaders, a Danish autonomous realm, have rejected the idea of ​​American domination over their land. Chinese officials have also threatened to prevent a Hong Kong company from selling to US investors, running two ports on the Panama Canal.

"China does not overlook its interests in the West Hemisphere," said Yun Sun, a China analyst at the Stimson Center in Washington.

From the northern to the Patagonia
However, Trump and his advisers continue to insist on trying to increase US influence from the North -Orbit to the Patagonia region in South America. When Careni told Trump this month at the White House Oval Office, "Canada is not for sale", Trump replied, "Never say never."

In March, Vice President Judd Venus visited a US military base in Greenland to recall Trump's willingness to take over the land. And it is not accidental that the important trips of US Secretary of State Marco Rubio have not been raised after taking responsibility to Latin America and the Caribbean.
In El Salvador, Mr Rubio negotiated with the country's powerful leader to imprison the fired immigrants by the US government; That actually makes this country a criminal American. Rubio also pushed Panama's ports. During a meeting in July, he said, more focus on the Western Hemisphere "is vital to our country's national security and economic interests. Geography is important because proximity is important. "

During the late March trip to Surinam, Rubio was asked whether government officials had spoken about the creation of infiltration areas, including negotiating the scope of any superpower, including in Asia. Rubio, whose foreign policy views on Trump is more traditional, emphasized that the United States will continue to adhere to its military treaties in Asia, allowing US forces to be deployed throughout the region.

"We don't talk about the areas of influence," he said. The United States is a state-of-the-art country. "We have relationships with Japan, South Korea and the Philippines, and we will continue these relationships."

Some analysts say Trump's approach to the Ukrainian war is in line with the concept of areas of influence. The United States is negotiating with another great power about determining the smaller country borders and is trying to control its natural resources.

Trump has suggested that it is mainly in Russia's favor, including the recognition of Russia's sovereignty over Crimea and the confirmation of the occupation of large parts of East Ukraine by Russia. Even last week it seemed to withdraw from his request for Russian immediate ceasefire with Ukraine. He had previously forced Ukraine to sign an agreement for US companies to access the country's mineral resources.
Supporters of the Trump agreement say the plan is a reflection of field realities, as Ukraine is having difficulty expelled Russian occupation forces. But Putin and Russia's praise by Trump and his constant doubts about the US role in NATO have increased European concerns about the possible reduction of US presence in their geographical field.

 

Agree with China
The same is true of Taiwan and Asia's security. Trump has repeatedly criticized Taiwan for many years and has expressed his admiration for China's leader Shi Jinping, so that Taiwan and US officials are skeptical of whether he will doubt US arms support for Taiwan, which is required by Congress.

Trump says she wants to reach an agreement with China, but it is still unclear if the deal is beyond tariffs and includes issues such as Taiwan and US military presence in Asia.

"Beijing likes to have a big deal with the United States in the field of influence, and their first and last focus will be on Taiwan," says China's analyst.

Trump administration officials have not provided details of the US commitment to defending Taiwan in the event of a Chinese invasion. Al -Barij. Deputy Minister of Defense for Policy Affairs, in his approval meeting, responded to the Republican Senator Tom Cathen, who asked him why his stance on Taiwan's defense was "softer" recently, "Taiwan is not an existential interest to the United States," and the US is "important".